Dimanche 23 Février 2020

8:00AM HKT
Source: https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

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Great data sources on COVID-19

https://covidtracking.com/data https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6 https://wars.vote4.hk/en?utm_source=whatsapp&utm_medium=social_share https://chp-dashboard.geodata.gov.hk/covid-19/en.html https://www.chp.gov.hk/files/pdf/local_situation_covid19_en.pdf https://rsf.org/en/tracker19-Coronavirus-Covid19 https://public.flourish.studio/visualisation/1712761/?fbclid=IwAR2FiQoUniiNs2Jx56OtEdcKAeJkal7ManxLSHVBPRVXyJCvErQei914FWo https://ici.radio-canada.ca/info/2020/coronavirus-covid-19-pandemie-cas-carte-maladie-symptomes-propagation/?fromApp=appInfoIos&fromMobileApp=ios&partageApp=appInfoiOS&accesVia=partage
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Samedi 8 Février 2020

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# 26 (Confirmé) 42 ans Male Cas Importé Date de confirmation: 2020-02-07 Lieu de résidence: Hong Kong Hôpital Prince of Wales Le patient réside dans le bloc 10, The Palazzo, Sha Tin. Il a développé des symptômes de fièvre et de toux le 3 février, a demandé un traitement à l'hôpital Prince of Wales et a été admis en quarantaine le 6 février. Il est actuellement dans un état stable. Le 22 janvier, le patient est allé de Hong Kong à l'aéroport international de Shenzhen Bao'an pour un vol vers la province du Hebei, en Chine. Le 26 janvier, il s'est envolé de la province du Hebei pour Guangzhou et s'est rendu à Macao le même jour. Le 2 février, il est retourné à Hong Kong en ferry. ------------------ # 25 (Confirmé) 58 ans Masculin Cas Importé Date de confirmation: 2020-02-07 Lieu de résidence: Hong Kong Hôpital du district nord Le patient a son domicile à Zhuhai et à Hong Kong (Serenity Garden, Hang Tau, district Nord) pendant qu'il travaille à Z...
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Plotting Canada, U.S, and Italy's Wuhan virus bell curves

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First, the curves as I plotted them with the data to April 3rd, 2020, just about a week ago: I expected Canada to peak around April 12th, with an 'exit' around May 16th,2020 I expected Italy to have peaked around April 26th, 2020, with an 'exit' around April 26th. I expected the U.S to peak around April 13th, 2020, with an 'exit' around May 14th I think the projections for the U.S and Canada might have been done without sufficient data; the 4 point polynomial projection did not hit the 0 on y-axis and, as a result, I had just extended the data based on the assumption of peak. From now on, I will wait to call for an exit date and peak until the curve hits 0 on the y-axis. With the new data points of the past few days, I assessed that Canada's new cases have peaked on April 6th, and that the 'exit' is now around the 1st of May 2020, about 2 weeks earlier than my previous forecast. It obviously does not mean that it is the date when...
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